26e82c69bac3abe48cfce8aae262fda8

Remember "unskewed polls"? Well, that was obviously wrong in the US in 2012 but it does seem that recently some polling has been skewed. 2014 US midterms, 2015 Israeli election, and 2015 UK election come to mind.

The Drew @ almost 2 years ago

Comments (12)

26e82c69bac3abe48cfce8aae262fda8

So what's going on? Are we just better at polling in the US during presidential election years?

The Drew @ almost 2 years ago

Rose Hill, New York, NY

125e03ff143e887a8bee577895339921

I haven't cared about poles since Firecracker left.

Racer X @ almost 2 years ago

Winder, GA 30680, USA

6c48fb73634fa41fe7915a7faf370ee7

Squaw Firecracker give me pee pee teepee

YOU'VE BEEN WHITELASHED! @ almost 2 years ago

Strongsville, OH, USA

26e82c69bac3abe48cfce8aae262fda8

Was watching the UK election coverage on Sky, big fan of the "Monster Raving Loony Party"

The Drew @ almost 2 years ago

Rose Hill, New York, NY

B35527b232c45def78db4f6949419182

It all hinges on turnout, and I don't think they've been able to do well at predicting that yet.

Tjaden Froyda @ almost 2 years ago

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A39f5aef0adb6cea421f333e4cc9b583

unskewed took everyones polls and declared they were wrong for partisan reasons, they just changed them to suit themselves. pure ####ing irony.

[412035] @ almost 2 years ago

Hedgesville, WV 25427, USA

A39f5aef0adb6cea421f333e4cc9b583

in 2014 they took standard methodology but nobody could predict democrats wouldn't even show up.

[412035] @ almost 2 years ago

Hedgesville, WV 25427, USA

A39f5aef0adb6cea421f333e4cc9b583

in israel ben just ginned up racial fears at the last minute.

[412035] @ almost 2 years ago

Hedgesville, WV 25427, USA

A39f5aef0adb6cea421f333e4cc9b583

none of these is like the other.

[412035] @ almost 2 years ago

Hedgesville, WV 25427, USA

26e82c69bac3abe48cfce8aae262fda8

They are similar in the fact that the polling was quite wrong with each. There are ways they try to predict turnout, (this worked in 2012 obviously), but I guess the industry isn't quite there yet.

The Drew @ almost 2 years ago

Rose Hill, New York, NY

26e82c69bac3abe48cfce8aae262fda8

Anyway Silver wrote about this topic after totally missing the UK result http://fivethirtyeight.com/liveblogs/uk-general-election-2015/ @9:54pm

The Drew @ almost 2 years ago

Rose Hill, New York, NY

A39f5aef0adb6cea421f333e4cc9b583

classic drew

[412035] @ almost 2 years ago

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